Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.074190 0.086445 0.100021 0.116166 0.134836 0.155739 0.180912
2024-10-06 0.057152 0.073784 0.094085 0.120647 0.154450 0.195998 0.250919
2024-10-13 0.046342 0.064937 0.089455 0.124061 0.171559 0.234376 0.323690
2024-10-20 0.036844 0.055325 0.081330 0.120444 0.177629 0.258014 0.379429
2024-10-27 0.030089 0.047995 0.074660 0.117045 0.182498 0.279473 0.433772
2024-11-03 0.026401 0.044428 0.072654 0.119762 0.196094 0.314529 0.511755
2024-11-10 0.024032 0.042454 0.072637 0.125277 0.214351 0.358404 0.608287
2024-11-17 0.021604 0.039934 0.071260 0.128178 0.228437 0.396912 0.700385
2024-11-24 0.019198 0.037038 0.068764 0.128671 0.238253 0.429123 0.785270
2024-12-01 0.017036 0.034230 0.065982 0.128163 0.246026 0.458381 0.867970
2024-12-08 0.015067 0.031472 0.062880 0.126562 0.251429 0.483745 0.946144
2024-12-15 0.014012 0.030350 0.062697 0.130438 0.267511 0.530240 1.068610
2024-12-22 0.013051 0.029313 0.062610 0.134629 0.284999 0.581877 1.208067
2024-12-29 0.012233 0.028462 0.062788 0.139388 0.304240 0.639128 1.365422
2025-01-05 0.011411 0.027475 0.062541 0.143198 0.321939 0.695186 1.526686
2025-01-12 0.010050 0.025049 0.058851 0.139007 0.321946 0.714675 1.613440
2025-01-19 0.008886 0.022907 0.055495 0.135091 0.322002 0.734126 1.702080
2025-01-26 0.008327 0.022149 0.055211 0.138212 0.338338 0.790650 1.878806
2025-02-02 0.008012 0.021955 0.056231 0.144550 0.362898 0.868081 2.111327
2025-02-09 0.007545 0.021297 0.056034 0.147883 0.380659 0.931831 2.318997
2025-02-16 0.006976 0.020279 0.054801 0.148450 0.391693 0.980991 2.497342
2025-02-23 0.006407 0.019176 0.053202 0.147866 0.399751 1.023852 2.665013
2025-03-02 0.005841 0.017991 0.051227 0.146026 0.404343 1.058695 2.816542